Call Audit

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Passport #83411 · Jun 1, 2026 · 23:10 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@alejandro_XBT

Jun 1, 2026 · 23:10 UTC

Bitcoin is doing exactly what I said it would do. Weeks ago, I was getting laughed at for saying this wasn't the bottom. We're heading straight toward 40K. Keep listening to the people who called every bounce a bottom. I'll keep listening to the charts.

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@alejandro_XBT's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	declarative
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Clear bearish call with 'heading straight toward 40K' as the explicit target. Declarative tone with no hedging language.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC declines toward 40K. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present; 'weeks ago' is past behavior, not a forward timeframe. No bounce, bottom, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$71,366
Target	$40,000 – $40,000
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

0.88composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.89
Path Score (OCS)	0.98
Time Score (TIF)	0.97
Magnitude	0.89
Max Favorable Move	+19.0%
Max Unfavorable Move	−0.3%
Candles evaluated	2880 · 1d
Eval window	Jun 1, 2026 · 23:10 UTC → Jul 1, 2026 · 23:10 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$71,366
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 217.05,
  "mfe": 13566.05,
  "mqs": 0.885998,
  "ocs": 0.984252,
  "tif": 0.967742,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.70145,
  "sigma_d": 0.01623108,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-01 23:10:23+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.885998,
  "max_close": 71510.01,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-01 23:10:23+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 2.171537,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.88486,
  "activation_price": 71366.24,
  "dir_target_score": 0.420721,
  "candles_evaluated": 2880,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.087537,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 31,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 31,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 30,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}