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Passport #82369 · May 27, 2026 · 13:41 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
AL@alejandro_XBT
May 27, 2026 · 13:41 UTC
Bitcoin is heading straight to 58K in the coming days or weeks.
After that, I expect 40K in the months ahead.
Remember everyone who told you the bottom was already in.
I warned you this last rally was just a dead cat bounce.
Keep trying to fade me.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clear bearish call with two explicit downward targets: 58K in coming days/weeks and 40K in months ahead. Language is declarative ('is heading straight to', 'I expect'). Targets span from 40K (lower) to 58K (upper).
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to 58K. 'In the coming days or weeks' is bound to this outcome; 'coming days/weeks' maps to the midpoint of days (5) and weeks (14) → round((5+14)/2) = 9, but the phrase 'days or weeks' maps to the dual-phrase 'days/weeks' = 9. Wait — checking table: 'coming days / next few days' = 5, 'coming weeks / next few weeks' = 14; dual phrase 'days/weeks' = round((5+14)/2) = 9. However, re-reading: 'coming days or weeks' most naturally maps to 'coming weeks' at 14 since 'or weeks' extends the window. Using the dual-phrase rule: explicit_timeframe = 9.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $74,929 |
| Target | $40,000 – $58,000 |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.95composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.99 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.96 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.98 |
| Magnitude | 0.99 |
| Max Favorable Move | +21.1% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −0.8% |
| Candles evaluated | 1344 · 8h |
| Eval window | May 27, 2026 · 13:41 UTC → Jun 10, 2026 · 13:41 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 14 |
| Duration used in scoring | 14 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $74,929 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 573.79,
"mfe": 15797.59,
"mqs": 0.986666,
"ocs": 0.964952,
"tif": 0.976744,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-05 19:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.888083,
"sigma_d": 0.01606306,
"eval_end": "2026-06-10 13:41:20+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.986666,
"max_close": 75352.89,
"min_close": 59392.25,
"eval_start": "2026-05-27 13:41:20+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 14,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 4.317472,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.954111,
"activation_price": 74928.5,
"dir_target_score": 0.917757,
"candles_evaluated": 1344,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.048833,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 42,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}