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Passport #120915 · Jun 18, 2026 · 23:06 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@alejandro_XBT

Jun 18, 2026 · 23:06 UTC

I'll keep repeating this until I'm bored of saying it: Bitcoin: 12K–16K. Ethereum: $300–$400. Not this month. Not next week. But I expect those levels to be tested before this is all over. That's where I believe the real bottom is. GG.

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@alejandro_XBT's ETH record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

ETH

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	ETH
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	60 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Bearish call predicting ETH will test $300-$400 as the 'real bottom'. 'I expect' and 'I believe' indicate mild hedge rather than firm declarative. Clear down direction with explicit target range.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = ETH drops to $300–$400 (the real bottom). Same post language applies — no explicit horizon, earnest macro bottom-call register → Signal B2 ↑ to 60.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	ETH
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$1,703
Target	$300 – $400
Duration	60 days · Medium Term

Scoring

0.61composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.78
Path Score (OCS)	0.65
Time Score (TIF)	0.67
Magnitude	0.78
Max Favorable Move	+11.2%
Max Unfavorable Move	−6.1%
Candles evaluated	1562 · 3d
Eval window	Jun 18, 2026 · 23:06 UTC → Jul 5, 2026 · 05:30 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	60
Duration used in scoring	60

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$1,703
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 104.69,
  "mfe": 190.96,
  "mqs": 0.783144,
  "ocs": 0.645899,
  "tif": 0.666667,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-06-26 03:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.347817,
  "sigma_d": 0.02739192,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.783144,
  "max_close": 1804.67,
  "min_close": 1522.68,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-18 23:06:11+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 60,
  "mew_days_used": 60,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.528521,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.610882,
  "activation_price": 1702.96,
  "dir_target_score": 0.138362,
  "candles_evaluated": 1562,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.073361,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "3d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 6,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 6,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 4,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 6
}