Passport #120914 · Jun 18, 2026 · 23:06 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 60 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clear bearish call targeting 12K-16K as the 'real bottom'. Uses 'I expect' and 'I believe' which softens to mild hedge, though tone is conviction-driven with repetition emphasis.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to 12K–16K range (the real bottom). No explicit horizon — 'not this month / not next week' are negations, and 'before this is all over' is vague. Signal B2 (bottom call) fires; macro/cycle framing ('real bottom', 'before this is all over') pushes ↑ to 60.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2861.49,
"mfe": 4961.15,
"mqs": 0.658137,
"ocs": 0.634204,
"tif": 0.833333,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.250423,
"sigma_d": 0.02118103,
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.658137,
"max_close": 65578,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-18 23:06:11+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 60,
"mew_days_used": 60,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.073346,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.594024,
"activation_price": 62761.34,
"dir_target_score": 0.098191,
"candles_evaluated": 1562,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.073646,
"scoring_candle_tf": "3d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 6,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 6,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 5,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 6
}