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Passport #63921 · Mar 5, 2026 · 20:27 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@Trader_XO

Mar 5, 2026 · 20:27 UTC

$BTC I don’t have a particularly strong directional view tbh, price largely remains rotational. Structurally, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a regime similar to May – July 2021 where the market oscillated within a compressed range before resolving, not something I’m overly fussed about trading. Areas Of Interest => On the daily, the 12/21/25 EMAs around 70k–69k are key support imo, confluent with the 4-week composite value area high, ideally I'd want to see this hold. Trading below that level which is key imo, would likely have me leaning towards price taking the February lows, potentially into the 58s or near equal lows. If those levels hold, I’d be interested in longs for a range play - again if it sets up. If we see further upside in the coming weeks, the 80–82k region stands out as meaningful resistance, confluent with the February high and single prints, with a typical mean reversion play back up into the 12/21/25 weekly EMA bands. I may contemplate selling there if it sets up from an order flow perspective.

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Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	$69,000
Trigger Operator	Break Below

AI Reasoning

Claim 1: Trading below 70k-69k support (using lower end 69000 for down call) would lead to a move down to the 58s/February lows. Target range extracted as 58000-58999 for 'the 58s'.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC drops to February lows / 58k region after breaking 70k-69k support. No horizon phrase is bound to this outcome (the trigger is 'trading below that level'); no bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$68,114
Target	$58,000 – $58,999
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger level	$69,000
Trigger operator	Break Below
Conditional operator	Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Mar 7, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Scoring

0.27composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.24
Path Score (OCS)	0.28
Time Score (TIF)	0.35
Magnitude	0.24
Max Favorable Move	+4.6%
Max Unfavorable Move	−11.6%
Candles evaluated	2881 · 1d
Eval window	Mar 7, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → Apr 6, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$71,179
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 7885.98,
  "mfe": 3114.02,
  "mqs": 0.236531,
  "ocs": 0.283093,
  "tif": 0.354839,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-03-29 23:00:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.206273,
  "sigma_d": 0.03535416,
  "eval_end": "2026-04-06 00:00:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.236531,
  "max_close": 75933.8,
  "min_close": 65620.39,
  "eval_start": "2026-03-07 00:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 68114.02,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-03-07 00:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.269882,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.270184,
  "activation_price": 68114.02,
  "dir_target_score": 0.273574,
  "candles_evaluated": 2881,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.169399,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 31,
  "trigger_candle_index": 1,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 31,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 11,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}