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Call Audit
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Passport #150199 · Jul 11, 2026 · 15:21 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
$BTC
Higher Time Frame
Having shorted this move from the 125s, I personally see little value in continuing to press swing shorts at these levels.
My focus has shifted back toward spot accumulation, where I believe the more attractive asymmetric play lies in identifying high-quality buying opportunities for the longer-term move over the next several quarters.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 270 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author signals bullish longer-term stance by shifting to spot accumulation for a multi-quarter move. No specific price targets stated. '125s' refers to prior short entry, not a target. 'I believe' and 'asymmetric play' indicate mild hedge rather than declarative commitment.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves up (spot accumulation for the longer-term move). 'Over the next several quarters' is bound to the outcome; 'several quarters' ≈ 3 quarters → ~270 days. D = 2026-07-11; 3 × 90 = 270 days → explicit_timeframe = 270.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $64,430 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 270 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 270 |
| Duration used in scoring | 270 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $64,430 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 727.67,
"mfe": 44.76,
"mqs": 0.062562,
"ocs": 0.057947,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-11 15:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.00106,
"sigma_d": 0.02150664,
"eval_end": "2026-07-12 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.062562,
"max_close": 64429.83,
"min_close": 63782,
"eval_start": "2026-07-11 15:21:08+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 270,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.064604,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.030392,
"activation_price": 64429.83,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 57,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010753,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}