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Passport #120595 · Jun 17, 2026 · 10:25 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
TR@Trader_XO
Jun 17, 2026 · 10:25 UTC
67-68s local range highs imo
Leaning towards price eventually revisiting 60-62k for a rotation down….
If a push to 71s comes first then that’s a big level I’d sell… https://t.co/X4go8Wtxbt
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $62,000 |
| Trigger Operator | Acceptance Below |
AI Reasoning
71s is the trigger level where the forecaster would short (sell) — price would push up to 71s first, then reverse down. The 60-62k target is stated earlier as the rotation-down destination, though it's tied to the primary lean rather than explicitly to the 71s scenario, creating some ambiguity on target attribution.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines after a push to 71s (conditional sell). Per §0.5, the trigger is 'if price pushes to 71s' with no horizon attached to the subsequent down move. No §4 signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $62,000 |
| Target | $71,000 – $71,000 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger level | $62,000 |
| Trigger operator | Acceptance Below |
| Conditional operator | Category D — Bidding / Wick / Liquidity Grab (Reversal UP) |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jun 24, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
This call is conditional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $64,936 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_3_confidence: post_target_confidence
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 4199.81,
"mfe": 1461.99,
"mqs": 0.257409,
"ocs": 0.25822,
"tif": 0.307692,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-04 19:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.107524,
"sigma_d": 0.02408427,
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.257409,
"max_close": 63439.87,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-24 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 62000,
"trigger_ts": "2026-06-24 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.29761,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.232711,
"activation_price": 62000,
"dir_target_score": 0.159986,
"candles_evaluated": 1079,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.079233,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 13,
"trigger_candle_index": 6,
"aggregated_candles_count": 13,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 4,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 13
} 