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Passport #152213 · Jul 13, 2026 · 13:41 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
EL@Eliz883
Jul 13, 2026 · 13:41 UTC
$ETH The 1D supertrend acts as absolute resistance
Breaking through it would lead to a 10%squeeze https://t.co/lhfjGtZQhC
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $1,850 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Above |
AI Reasoning
The trigger is 'breaking the 1D supertrend' — a chart-referenced level with no explicit numeric value, so trigger is null. Direction is up (squeeze after break). The 10% squeeze is a percentage move, not an explicit numeric price target, so target_lo/hi are null. Single claim.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH squeezes ~10% upward after breaking the 1D supertrend resistance. Per §0.5, the trigger is 'breaking through it' and no horizon phrase is bound to the outcome. 'Squeeze' implies urgency/short-term move → Signal C base 14.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
Gate 1: Chart asset ETHUSDT identified; timeframe not visible in toolbar. Gate 2: Asset matches Stage 3 ETH. Gate 3: Red stepped supertrend line is visible on the chart, which matches the post's reference to '1D supertrend'. Gate 4: Direction (up) is consistent with a break above the supertrend line. Trigger extracted as approximately 1830 where the supertrend line currently sits, though with ambiguity.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $1,875 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger level | $1,850 |
| Trigger operator | Break Above |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Pump/Close Above |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jul 14, 2026 · 16:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.50composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.48 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.59 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.58 |
| Magnitude | 0.48 |
| Max Favorable Move | +5.7% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −3.8% |
| Candles evaluated | 1345 · 8h |
| Eval window | Jul 14, 2026 · 16:00 UTC → Jul 28, 2026 · 16:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 14 |
| Duration used in scoring | 14 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeA |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $1,768 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_3_confidence: chart_trigger_confidence
Merge Flags
trigger_from_chart: true
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 72.17,
"mfe": 106.02,
"mqs": 0.479724,
"ocs": 0.594983,
"tif": 0.581395,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-27 06:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.361707,
"sigma_d": 0.02438267,
"eval_end": "2026-07-28 16:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.479724,
"max_close": 1975.73,
"min_close": 1807.02,
"eval_start": "2026-07-14 16:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 1875.22,
"trigger_ts": "2026-07-14 16:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 14,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.653396,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.504452,
"activation_price": 1875.22,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 1345,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.086528,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": 3,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 25,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
} 