Call Audit

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Passport #83469 · Jun 2, 2026 · 07:53 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@Cryptofaibik

Jun 2, 2026 · 07:53 UTC

$BTC Bearish flag has now broken to the downside.. exactly what I had been highlighting over the past few days.. Technically, #Bitcoin is still in a Bearish phase & bears remain dominant. At this stage, Buying the dip would be a Risky decision. In my view, it is better to Remain on the sell side until stronger Bullish momentum appears. As I have been saying for quite some time, I still expect Bitcoin to see a 20–25% downside move in the Midterm & so far, the market structure is aligning with that view.. Once I find a strong Buying opportunity with clear momentum for a midterm position, I will share a signal here. Until then, enjoy the Bearish Ride.. 🏄‍♂️

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	declarative
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Clear bearish call with 'still expect Bitcoin to see a 20-25% downside move in the Midterm'. The 20-25% is a percentage move, not an explicit price target, and no reference price (P0) is provided in the post to compute absolute targets, so target_lo and target_hi are null. 'Expect' combined with confident bearish language throughout makes this declarative.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC declines 20–25%. 'Midterm' is not a mapped explicit phrase; no calendar/relative horizon is bound to the outcome. 'Midterm' with a substantial directional move (20–25%) routes to Signal B2/E territory, but the framing is a sustained bearish trend thesis — closest match is Signal B2 with ↑ to 60 for HTF/multi-week framing, or DEFAULT 30 elevated by 'midterm' language. 'Midterm' paired with a 20–25% move implies a multi-week to multi-month horizon → Signal B2 base 30 ↑ to 60 for macro/HTF framing.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$70,118
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

0.88composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.87
Path Score (OCS)	0.99
Time Score (TIF)	1.00
Magnitude	0.87
Max Favorable Move	+17.6%
Max Unfavorable Move	−0.1%
Candles evaluated	2880 · 1d
Eval window	Jun 2, 2026 · 07:53 UTC → Jul 2, 2026 · 07:53 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$70,118
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 100.07,
  "mfe": 12318.23,
  "mqs": 0.866061,
  "ocs": 0.991942,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.666364,
  "sigma_d": 0.01630503,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-02 07:53:19+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.866061,
  "max_close": 70118.42,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-02 07:53:19+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 2.010373,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.881092,
  "activation_price": 70118.42,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 2880,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.087386,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 31,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 31,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 31,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}