Call Audit

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Passport #82413 · May 28, 2026 · 03:47 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@Cryptofaibik

May 28, 2026 · 03:47 UTC

$BTC Bearish flag is now looking Ready for a downside Breakdown..!! If bulls fail to hold the 72k Support level, be prepared for a Potential 20–25% Bearish wave..📉 #Crypto #Bitcoin #BTC https://t.co/rTeWEm778r

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	$72,000
Trigger Operator	Break Below

AI Reasoning

72k is the trigger level that must be lost to activate the bearish forecast. The 20-25% downside from 72k gives a target range of 54000-57600. Single claim with hedged language ('potential', 'be prepared').

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC drops 20-25% after failing to hold 72k support. Per §0.5, no temporal phrase is attached to the outcome (the 72k failure is the trigger). No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$71,409
Target	$54,000 – $57,600
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger level	$72,000
Trigger operator	Break Below
Conditional operator	Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Jun 2, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Scoring

0.89composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.89
Path Score (OCS)	0.99
Time Score (TIF)	0.97
Magnitude	0.89
Max Favorable Move	+19.1%
Max Unfavorable Move	−0.2%
Candles evaluated	2881 · 1d
Eval window	Jun 2, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → Jul 2, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeB
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$73,258
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 143.1,
  "mfe": 13608.71,
  "mqs": 0.889521,
  "ocs": 0.989594,
  "tif": 0.967742,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.702574,
  "sigma_d": 0.01605004,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-02 00:00:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.889521,
  "max_close": 71408.9,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-02 00:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 71408.9,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-06-02 00:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 2.202926,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.887358,
  "activation_price": 71408.9,
  "dir_target_score": 0.958736,
  "candles_evaluated": 2881,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.08651,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 31,
  "trigger_candle_index": 4,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 31,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 30,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}