Passport #183383 · Aug 12, 2026 · 14:30 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 9 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bullish call to position into ETH now with expected rally to $3,000 in days/weeks. 'Wouldn't be surprised' language qualifies as mild hedge rather than declarative. Single explicit target of 3000.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH rallies to $3,000. 'A rally to $3,000 in a matter of days/week' binds the horizon directly to the outcome; per §3.2 dual-phrase 'days/weeks' → round((5 + 14) / 2) = 9 days.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 8.26,
"mfe": 4.11,
"mqs": 0.230241,
"ocs": 0.332253,
"tif": 0.5,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-12 15:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.018151,
"sigma_d": 0.01660131,
"eval_end": "2026-08-12 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 1884.34,
"magnitude": 0.230241,
"max_close": 1894.92,
"min_close": 1884.11,
"eval_start": "2026-08-12 14:30:01+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-12 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 9,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.261678,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.270161,
"activation_price": 1892.18,
"dir_target_score": 0.002473,
"candles_evaluated": 20,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.008301,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}