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Passport #180879 · Aug 9, 2026 · 21:42 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@CryptoMichNL

Aug 9, 2026 · 21:42 UTC

This is a pretty interesting weekly candle on $TAO. It's on a higher timeframe support level. In every of the previous cases, it has provided a rally of nearly 100% (or more). I'm long again on this one and I expect to see continuation. Coming weeks are defining. Why? ➡️ The weekly green candle needs to be followed up with strength to increase the likelihood of the narrative. ➡️ The daily chart breaks above the 21-Day and 50-Day MA and needs to hold coming days in order to confirm the trend switch for the first time since May '26. If those happen, we're going to continue and we might see $500 in Q4 2026 or Q1 2027.

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Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

TAO

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	TAO
Direction	Long
Commitment	heavy_hedge
Duration	144 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Bullish call — forecaster is long and expects continuation with $500 as the stated target. Language is heavily conditional ('if those happen', 'we might see $500') making this a heavy_hedge. Target is explicit and in the direction of the call.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = TAO reaches $500. The horizon phrase 'Q4 2026 or Q1 2027' is bound to the outcome; using the midpoint between end of Q4 2026 (Dec 31 2026) and end of Q1 2027 (Mar 31 2027): midpoint ≈ Feb 14 2027, which is 189 days from Aug 9 2026, but per §3.1 'Q4/Q1' spans two quarters so midpoint of Dec 31 2026 and Mar 31 2027 = Feb 14 2027; D = 2026-08-09, Feb 14 2027 = 189 days — however, treating 'Q4 2026 or Q1 2027' as the nearer bound (Q4 2026 end = Dec 31 2026): Dec 31 2026 − Aug 9 2026 = 144 days, using the earlier/nearer quarter as the tighter bound on the outcome.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	TAO
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$206.6
Target	$500 – $500
Duration	144 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	explicit_text
Duration stated (days)	144
Duration used in scoring	144

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	heavy_hedge
Spot price at post	$206.6
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 6.4,
  "mfe": 0.7,
  "mqs": 0.142302,
  "ocs": 0.09859,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-08-09 22:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.007079,
  "sigma_d": 0.04414494,
  "eval_end": "2026-08-10 05:15:00+00:00",
  "end_close": 202.1,
  "magnitude": 0.142302,
  "max_close": 207,
  "min_close": 202,
  "eval_start": "2026-08-09 21:42:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "end_close_ts": "2026-08-10 05:15:00+00:00",
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 144,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.153503,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.061993,
  "activation_price": 206.6,
  "dir_target_score": 0.001363,
  "candles_evaluated": 31,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.022072,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}