Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #142863 · Jun 30, 2026 · 19:45 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@CryptoMichNL

Jun 30, 2026 · 19:45 UTC

Quite clearly, this is going to sweep the lows beneath the recent one at the start of July for #Bitcoin. Doesn't need to be worrying anyone, as it's still the last day of the month (rebalancing purposes are taking place). The two scenarios for me are: - Cascade further and we'll hit <$52,000 to take the liquidity there. - We'll quickly bounce back upwards and continue to be building the bullish divergences on multiple timeframes. It looks shaky.

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	7 days · Short Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Primary call is down ('going to sweep the lows'). The <$52,000 figure is stated as a downside target if the cascade continues, so target_hi = 52000 with no explicit floor (target_lo = null). The bounce scenario is in the opposite direction and not extracted. Overall tone is declarative on direction but hedged by presenting two scenarios, so mild_hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC sweeps lows (moves down). No outcome-anchored horizon phrase; 'last day of the month' describes a catalyst (rebalancing), not the outcome's timeframe. No bounce, bottom-call, urgency, or macro signal fires for this directional down leg → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$58,752
Target	— – $52,000
Duration	7 days · Short Term

Scoring

0.26composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.72
Path Score (OCS)	0.14
Time Score (TIF)	0.05
Magnitude	0.72
Max Favorable Move	+1.6%
Max Unfavorable Move	−10.1%
Candles evaluated	673 · 4h
Eval window	Jun 30, 2026 · 19:45 UTC → Jul 7, 2026 · 19:45 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	7
Duration used in scoring	7

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$58,752
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 5948,
  "mfe": 951.81,
  "mqs": 0.72176,
  "ocs": 0.137947,
  "tif": 0.046512,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.152328,
  "sigma_d": 0.02532768,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-07 19:45:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.72176,
  "max_close": 64489.98,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-30 19:45:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": true,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 14,
  "mew_days_used": 7,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.27927,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.264637,
  "activation_price": 58752,
  "dir_target_score": 0.086225,
  "candles_evaluated": 673,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.012664,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 43,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 43,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}