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Passport #79930 · May 13, 2026 · 07:27 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
CR@CredibleCrypto
May 13, 2026 · 07:27 UTC
I haven't posted an update on $HBAR in a while because I covered it in my last Youtube vid on alts and nothing has changed- we are still about 20% above the area of interest on the HBAR/BTC chart which is when I think the $HBAR USD pairing will be ready for liftoff.
With that being said, we can see that on the USD pairing we are technically re-testing our HTF accumulation zone.
I am currently watching a potential lower TF range (in blue) and I think that before we see the next expansion phase we are likely to see those range lows again.
That level is currently about ~23% below where we are today and considering the HBAR/BTC pairing area of interest is also ~20% lower than we are today- it seems quite likely that this zone will be met at some point or another.
A 10% $BTC pullback from our HTF supply zone (which we are still battling) would almost guarantee this zone is met imo.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster anticipates a ~10% BTC pullback from the HTF supply zone, indicating a down call. However, no explicit price target is stated — only a percentage move from an unspecified zone, so targets are null. 'Would almost guarantee' combined with 'imo' suggests a mild hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC pulls back ~10% from HTF supply zone. No explicit timeframe attached to the outcome. No §4 signal fires beyond the generic directional call → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $80,920 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.93composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.96 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.95 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.97 |
| Magnitude | 0.96 |
| Max Favorable Move | +26.9% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −1.4% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | May 13, 2026 · 07:27 UTC → Jun 12, 2026 · 07:27 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $80,920 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Merge Flags
asset_mismatch: trueasset_mismatch_chart: HBARasset_mismatch_claim: BTC
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1128.13,
"mfe": 21789.09,
"mqs": 0.957451,
"ocs": 0.950774,
"tif": 0.967742,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-05 19:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.843327,
"sigma_d": 0.01759322,
"eval_end": "2026-06-12 07:27:44+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.957451,
"max_close": 81888.4,
"min_close": 59392.25,
"eval_start": "2026-05-13 07:27:44+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 3.157108,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.929824,
"activation_price": 80920,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.085289,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 30,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
} 