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Passport #79929 · May 13, 2026 · 07:27 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
CR@CredibleCrypto
May 13, 2026 · 07:27 UTC
𝕏 I haven't posted an update on $HBAR in a while because I covered it in my last Youtube vid on alts and nothing has changed- we are still about 20% above the area of interest on the HBAR/BTC chart which is when I think the $HBAR USD pairing will be ready for liftoff.
With that being said, we can see that on the USD pairing we are technically re-testing our HTF accumulation zone.
I am currently watching a potential lower TF range (in blue) and I think that before we see the next expansion phase we are likely to see those range lows again.
That level is currently about ~23% below where we are today and considering the HBAR/BTC pairing area of interest is also ~20% lower than we are today- it seems quite likely that this zone will be met at some point or another.
A 10% $BTC pullback from our HTF supply zone (which we are still battling) would almost guarantee this zone is met imo.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | HBAR |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster expects HBAR to revisit range lows (~23% below current) before next expansion — clear downward directional lean. No explicit price target given (only a percentage from an unknown current price), so target_lo/hi set to null. 'Likely' and 'I think' indicate mild hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = HBAR revisits range lows ~23% below current price. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase; 'at some point or another' is too vague to anchor. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | HBAR |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $0.0944 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.73composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.81 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.53 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.87 |
| Magnitude | 0.81 |
| Max Favorable Move | +18.8% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −16.4% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | May 13, 2026 · 07:27 UTC → Jun 12, 2026 · 07:27 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $0.0944 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 0.01552,
"mfe": 0.01779,
"mqs": 0.809237,
"ocs": 0.532475,
"tif": 0.870968,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-06 04:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.697717,
"sigma_d": 0.02327904,
"eval_end": "2026-06-12 07:27:44+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.809237,
"max_close": 0.10878,
"min_close": 0.07699,
"eval_start": "2026-05-13 07:27:44+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.656724,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.727599,
"activation_price": 0.09438,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.113775,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 27,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}