Call Audit

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Passport #83101 · May 31, 2026 · 15:39 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@ColinTcrypto

May 31, 2026 · 15:39 UTC

$BTC Decision Point: Mid-$60k's incoming? We have an H&S Top pattern. It's currently retesting the neck line where it broke down from. If it rejects from here, that is a strong confirmation of the H&S as a top pattern. Furthermore, notice the price compression [marked by the two white arrows] in the last 2-4 days between the blue neck line and the yellow trend line of the channel. Bitcoin is being forced to make a decision. It should happen very soon-- within a day or two. And because a breakdown would simultaneously be a breakdown of the H&S as well as a breakdown of the channel, its target is the mid $60k's.

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	$74,000
Trigger Operator	Hold Above

AI Reasoning

Single conditional claim: if BTC rejects from neckline / breaks down from channel, target is mid-$60k's. Trigger is the neckline/channel level but no explicit numeric price is given, so trigger is null. Target 'mid-$60k's' is approximated as 60k-69k range but is imprecise, hence target confidence NOT PASS.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC drops to mid-$60k's. The phrase 'within a day or two' is bound to the trigger (the breakdown decision point), not to the outcome target of mid-$60k's — per §0.5 it cannot anchor the MEW. No outcome-bound horizon phrase exists. No bounce/bottom/urgency/macro signal fires for this leg → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

All gates passed. Chart is BTC/USD 1D from Coinbase, matching Stage 3 asset. A clear trigger structure exists: a horizontal neckline of an H&S pattern with a down arrow marking the breakdown direction, consistent with the Stage 3 down claim. Neckline price read from y-axis at ~73,600, matching the current price badge.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$71,409
Target	$60,000 – $69,000
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger level	$74,000
Trigger operator	Hold Above
Conditional operator	Category A — Hold/Defend/Maintain/Resistance
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Jun 2, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Scoring

0.89composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.89
Path Score (OCS)	0.99
Time Score (TIF)	0.97
Magnitude	0.89
Max Favorable Move	+19.1%
Max Unfavorable Move	−0.2%
Candles evaluated	2881 · 1d
Eval window	Jun 2, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → Jul 2, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeA
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$73,638
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_3_confidence: post_target_confidence

Merge Flags

trigger_from_chart: true

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 143.1,
  "mfe": 13608.71,
  "mqs": 0.892329,
  "ocs": 0.989594,
  "tif": 0.967742,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.702574,
  "sigma_d": 0.01586461,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-02 00:00:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.892329,
  "max_close": 71408.9,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-02 00:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 71408.9,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-06-02 00:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": true,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 2.228674,
  "target_hit_ts": "2026-06-02 13:00:00+00:00",
  "accuracy_score": 0.88806,
  "activation_price": 71408.9,
  "dir_target_score": 1,
  "candles_evaluated": 2881,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.08551,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 31,
  "trigger_candle_index": 1,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 31,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 30,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}