Call Audit

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Passport #175466 · Aug 4, 2026 · 10:29 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@ColinTcrypto

Aug 4, 2026 · 10:29 UTC

$BTC When you get bad news and the price doesn’t move much, you know you’re getting close to the bottom. We just saw: • Multiple crypto exchanges fail (AscendEX, BitMEX, BitMart). • A Coldcard security failure resulting in tens of millions of dollars in lost user funds. • MicroStrategy sells hundreds of millions of dollars worth of BTC. The bottom is close. Some think the bottom is already in. I think it’s yet to come, but not far off.

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@ColinTcrypto's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Author explicitly states 'I think it's yet to come, but not far off' referring to the bottom, indicating a further downward move before bottoming. No specific price target given. 'I think' and 'not far off' qualify this as a mild hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC declines further before bottoming. 'Not far off' is vague forward language with no explicit horizon bound to the outcome. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires for this directional down leg → Signal D / DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$63,470
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$63,470
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 930,
  "mfe": 18.2,
  "mqs": 0.034704,
  "ocs": 0.019194,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-08-04 10:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.001313,
  "sigma_d": 0.0162371,
  "eval_end": "2026-08-04 19:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.034704,
  "max_close": 64364.18,
  "min_close": 63470,
  "eval_start": "2026-08-04 10:29:50+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.03532,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.013803,
  "activation_price": 63470,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 37,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.008119,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}