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Passport #154958 Β· Jul 15, 2026 Β· 09:44 UTC Β· scored as of Aug 12, 2026 Β· 20:33 UTC
$BTC sees a tiny pump and hope floods the timeline.
Every. Single. Relief rally.
Thereβs still too much hope and enthusiasm for the bottom to be in.
I think $BTC may go as high as the 200-day MA (around $70k-$71k) before dumping again.
But enjoy the relief rally. The bottom isnβt confirmed yet.
Stage 1 Β· Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 Β· Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 Β· Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 14 days Β· Short Term |
| Trigger | β |
| Trigger Operator | β |
AI Reasoning
First leg is directional up to the 200-day MA range of $70k-$71k, which serves as the reversal point. Hedged with 'I think' and 'may go as high as.'
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC rallies up to the 200-day MA (~$70k-$71k). No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present. 'Relief rally' language is the dominant cue β Signal B base 14, no tiebreaker cues fire.
Stage 4 Β· Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 Β· Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $64,716 |
| Target | $70,000 β $71,000 |
| Duration | 14 days Β· Short Term |
Scoring
0.43composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.55 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.51 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.44 |
| Magnitude | 0.55 |
| Max Favorable Move | +3.5% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | β3.4% |
| Candles evaluated | 1344 Β· 8h |
| Eval window | Jul 15, 2026 Β· 09:44 UTC β Jul 29, 2026 Β· 09:44 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 14 |
| Duration used in scoring | 14 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3C |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $64,716 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved β no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2178.63,
"mfe": 2239.96,
"mqs": 0.545775,
"ocs": 0.50694,
"tif": 0.44186,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-21 14:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.227859,
"sigma_d": 0.01763161,
"eval_end": "2026-07-29 09:44:33+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.545775,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 62568.18,
"eval_start": "2026-07-15 09:44:33+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 14,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.789163,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.430609,
"activation_price": 64716.19,
"dir_target_score": 0.421705,
"candles_evaluated": 1344,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.043859,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 19,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}