Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #149238 · Jul 10, 2026 · 11:51 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@ColinTcrypto

Jul 10, 2026 · 11:51 UTC

$BTC Continuing to patiently wait for the bear market to end. We are getting closer. I think there's at least one more decent-sized shakeout & then we will be well within bottoming territory. I've been bearish since November 14, 2025. I will be happy to pivot back to bullish.

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Author explicitly states 'at least one more decent-sized shakeout' before bottoming, indicating a bearish/down expectation in the near term. No numeric price target is given. 'I think' language qualifies this as a mild hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC experiences another shakeout (down move). No explicit horizon is attached to the outcome. 'Patiently wait' is Signal F language, but the active predicted outcome is the shakeout (a down move), not a patient hold — no bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires for this leg → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$64,425
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$64,425
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 267.65,
  "mfe": 769.18,
  "mqs": 0.589861,
  "ocs": 0.741857,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-10 20:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.054598,
  "sigma_d": 0.02232055,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-11 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.589861,
  "max_close": 64542.48,
  "min_close": 63732.25,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-10 11:51:20+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.89126,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.596579,
  "activation_price": 64425.18,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 71,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.013396,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 2,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 2,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}