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Passport #136028 ยท Jun 7, 2026 ยท 14:22 UTC ยท scored as of Jul 15, 2026 ยท 14:03 UTC
CO@ColinTcrypto
Jun 7, 2026 ยท 14:22 UTC
๐ I read the panic news on Zcash ($ZEC) two days ago, did some quick research and I decided the price crash wasn't justified.
I bought a big chunk of ZEC at $316.
Price is now $418 and looks like it will go considerably higher. My target is around $486-$527 (pictured with gray rectangle).
Why didn't I think the price crash was justified?
โข Zcashโs built-in "turnstile" mechanism verified no additional supply was created.
โข Bug was fixed and yet people were panicing *after* disclosure. Made no sense.
โข Protocol is MORE secure than before-- not less.
โข Furthermore, from a general news standpoint, I have observed that negative news, if not borne out in lasting technical failure, is almost always quickly rebounded from-- within days usually.
Note that I will not be holding ZEC (or any altcoin) long-term right now due to the fact that we are in a crypto *bear* market. As such, it's just a short term trade for me. I'll likely sell within the next few weeks/month as BTC rallies in the short term, dragging alts up with it, as BTC often does.
Stage 1 ยท Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 ยท Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 ยท Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 14 days ยท Short Term |
| Trigger | โ |
| Trigger Operator | โ |
AI Reasoning
The BTC claim is 'BTC rallies in the short term' โ clear up direction with 'likely' hedge. No BTC price targets stated (the $486-$527 range is for ZEC, not BTC). The $316 and $418 numbers are ZEC entry/current prices, not BTC targets.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC rallies in the short term. 'In the short term' with 'next few weeks' framing โ ยง3.2 'coming weeks / next few weeks' = 14 days.
Stage 4 ยท Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 ยท Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $62,082 |
| Target | โ |
| Duration | 14 days ยท Short Term |
Scoring
0.72composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.66 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.80 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.91 |
| Magnitude | 0.66 |
| Max Favorable Move | +8.4% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | โ2.1% |
| Candles evaluated | 1344 ยท 8h |
| Eval window | Jun 7, 2026 ยท 14:22 UTC โ Jun 21, 2026 ยท 14:22 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 14 |
| Duration used in scoring | 14 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $62,082 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved โ no review gates triggered.
Merge Flags
asset_mismatch: trueasset_mismatch_chart: ZECasset_mismatch_claim: BTC
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1326.99,
"mfe": 5210.16,
"mqs": 0.662725,
"ocs": 0.797008,
"tif": 0.906977,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-15 16:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.509727,
"sigma_d": 0.02718609,
"eval_end": "2026-06-21 14:22:59+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.662725,
"max_close": 67292.14,
"min_close": 60966.06,
"eval_start": "2026-06-07 14:22:59+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 14,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.086858,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.719109,
"activation_price": 62081.99,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 1344,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.077217,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 39,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}