Call Audit

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Passport #120648 · Jun 17, 2026 · 15:12 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@ColinTcrypto

Jun 17, 2026 · 15:12 UTC

$BTC has dropped to rank #15 among all assets during its bear market. 😢 For reference, it was 5th place in April 2025, with a market cap of $1.86T, surpassing Alphabet, Google, Silver and Amazon at the time. This is the nature of a volatile asset that outpaces other assets in the long run. I expect BTC will reach the top 5 (again) within 5-10 years. Also: @SpaceX $SPCX teleported into to rank #8. 😅

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@ColinTcrypto's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	3653 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Forecaster expects BTC to reach top 5 by market cap within 5-10 years, implying a price increase (up direction). No explicit price target stated — only a market cap ranking goal. The $1.86T figure is a historical reference, not a target. 'I expect' = mild hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC reaches top 5 by market cap. 'Within 5-10 years' is bound to the outcome; midpoint is 7.5 years ≈ 2739 days, but the phrase specifies a range ending at 10 years. Using the outer bound '10 years' = 3650 days (D = 2026-06-17, +10 years → 2036-06-17 = 3653 days).

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$65,234
Target	—
Duration	3653 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	explicit_text
Duration stated (days)	3653
Duration used in scoring	3653

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$65,234
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 7434.08,
  "mfe": 1211.66,
  "mqs": 0.823427,
  "ocs": 0.140145,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-06-17 16:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.007705,
  "sigma_d": 0.02142299,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.823427,
  "max_close": 66258,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-17 15:12:51+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 3653,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.734023,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.242819,
  "activation_price": 65234.27,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 1690,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.010711,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}