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Passport #64850 · Mar 14, 2026 · 12:00 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
BITCOIN ENTRY SIGNAL THAT HAS REMAINED RELIABLE SINCE 2014:
- Consider buying when the price pulls back to the 100 EMA.
- Manage exposure if the price drops below the WMA14.
Right now, $BTC is approaching this key trend level once again.
- Above $70K: bullish confirmation.
- Below $65K: likely the last shakeout before a larger move.
Often the most straightforward signals carry the most weight.
This setup has just triggered again.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 180 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | $65,000 |
| Trigger Operator | Acceptance Below |
AI Reasoning
Claim 2: 'Below $65K: likely the last shakeout before a larger move' implies a sweep/liquidity grab below 65K followed by an upward move. Hedged with 'likely'. No numeric target stated.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC makes a larger move upward after a shakeout below $65K. 'Below $65K' is the trigger; 'larger move' has no explicit horizon attached. No §4 signal fires distinctly → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $65,000 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 180 days · Long Term |
| Trigger level | $65,000 |
| Trigger operator | Acceptance Below |
| Conditional operator | Category D — Bidding / Wick / Liquidity Grab (Reversal UP) |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Apr 7, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
This call is conditional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 180 |
| Duration used in scoring | 180 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $70,761 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 7199.81,
"mfe": 17850,
"mqs": 0.833337,
"ocs": 0.71258,
"tif": 0.5,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-06 11:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.472431,
"sigma_d": 0.02822814,
"eval_end": "2026-07-03 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.833337,
"max_close": 82684.01,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-04-07 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 65000,
"trigger_ts": "2026-04-07 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 180,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.791781,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.629587,
"activation_price": 65000,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 8375,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.153264,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 4,
"trigger_candle_index": 0,
"aggregated_candles_count": 4,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 4
}