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Call Audit
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Passport #27048 · Apr 23, 2026 · 16:32 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Bitcoin did this TWICE already.
2017: ATH taken → dump → fakeout → bottom
2021: ATH taken → dump → fakeout → bottom
2025: ATH taken → dump → fakeout NOW
That drop is where most people exit.
The real move usually starts right after.
Just to remind you, I was the only one who called the last cycle bottom and top.
Turn notifications on. Most people will follow me too late.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author implies we're at the fakeout/bottom stage and 'the real move usually starts right after' — clearly a bullish directional call. No explicit price targets stated. 'Usually starts' qualifies the prediction, making it a mild hedge rather than fully declarative.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC begins a major upward move after the fakeout/bottom. No explicit horizon is attached to the outcome. The post draws on 2017/2021 cycle analogies with macro framing ('the real move usually starts right after' a cycle bottom), which is earnest macro register — Signal H base 120.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $78,335 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
Scoring
0.23composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.43 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.18 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.15 |
| Magnitude | 0.43 |
| Max Favorable Move | +5.8% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −26.2% |
| Candles evaluated | 8640 · 1w |
| Eval window | Apr 23, 2026 · 16:32 UTC → Jul 22, 2026 · 16:32 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | 90 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $78,335 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 20534.82,
"mfe": 4514.99,
"mqs": 0.426892,
"ocs": 0.18024,
"tif": 0.153846,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-06 11:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.151159,
"sigma_d": 0.02895072,
"eval_end": "2026-07-22 16:32:26+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.426892,
"max_close": 82684.01,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-04-23 16:32:26+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.556681,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.228034,
"activation_price": 78335.01,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 8640,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.103537,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 13,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 13,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 13
}