Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #27048 · Apr 23, 2026 · 16:32 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@0xnoncesense

Apr 23, 2026 · 16:32 UTC

Bitcoin did this TWICE already. 2017: ATH taken → dump → fakeout → bottom 2021: ATH taken → dump → fakeout → bottom 2025: ATH taken → dump → fakeout NOW That drop is where most people exit. The real move usually starts right after. Just to remind you, I was the only one who called the last cycle bottom and top. Turn notifications on. Most people will follow me too late.

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Author implies we're at the fakeout/bottom stage and 'the real move usually starts right after' — clearly a bullish directional call. No explicit price targets stated. 'Usually starts' qualifies the prediction, making it a mild hedge rather than fully declarative.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC begins a major upward move after the fakeout/bottom. No explicit horizon is attached to the outcome. The post draws on 2017/2021 cycle analogies with macro framing ('the real move usually starts right after' a cycle bottom), which is earnest macro register — Signal H base 120.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$78,335
Target	—
Duration	90 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	90
Duration used in scoring	90

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$78,335
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 20534.82,
  "mfe": 4514.99,
  "mqs": 0.426892,
  "ocs": 0.18024,
  "tif": 0.181818,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-05-06 11:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.151159,
  "sigma_d": 0.02895072,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.426892,
  "max_close": 82684.01,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-04-23 16:32:26+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 90,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.556681,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.235027,
  "activation_price": 78335.01,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 6868,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.103537,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 11,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 11,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 11
}