Passport #155057 · Jul 15, 2026 · 17:22 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clear bearish call: 'BTC dumps to $55K' next week and '$45K by August'. Both targets are in the down direction from current $65K–$63K range. The $130K in the pattern is a longer-term projection beyond the immediate dump call and not part of the current directional forecast. Declarative tone with 'dumps to' and specific timeframes.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to $55K. 'Next week' is bound to the outcome ('Next week, BTC dumps to $55K'). D = 2026-07-15; 'next week' → 7 days.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1910.46,
"mfe": 2508.13,
"mqs": 0.794014,
"ocs": 0.567631,
"tif": 0.674419,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-17 14:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.349968,
"sigma_d": 0.01789902,
"eval_end": "2026-07-22 17:22:48+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.794014,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 62568.18,
"eval_start": "2026-07-15 17:22:48+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.579949,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.596508,
"activation_price": 65045.69,
"dir_target_score": 0.246624,
"candles_evaluated": 672,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.024406,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 29,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}