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Call Audit
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Passport #148376 · Jul 9, 2026 · 19:59 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
Imagine a breakout after 10 years range LMAO
ethereum:native https://t.co/qgv68j10vq
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 180 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
The post says 'Imagine a breakout after 10 years range LMAO' which suggests a bullish breakout scenario for ETH, but the tone is speculative/hypothetical ('Imagine...LMAO'). Could reasonably be read as sarcastic or wishful rather than a firm prediction. No targets stated.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH breaks out upward. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase; '10 years range' describes past chart history (a noise phrase per §2 Step 1), not a forward window. No bounce/bottom/urgency/macro signal fires clearly enough to override DEFAULT → 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $1,749 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 180 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | reviewer_override |
| Duration stated (days) | 180 |
| Duration used in scoring | 180 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | heavy_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $1,749 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_3_confidence: post_direction_confidence
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 232.73,
"mfe": 10.83,
"mqs": 0.358381,
"ocs": 0.044465,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-10 00:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.011574,
"sigma_d": 0.02791521,
"eval_end": "2026-07-30 19:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.358381,
"max_close": 1975.73,
"min_close": 1740.98,
"eval_start": "2026-07-09 19:59:17+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 180,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.443761,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.103605,
"activation_price": 1748.51,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2014,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.013958,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}