Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #80334 · May 15, 2026 · 11:18 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@tradertim

May 15, 2026 · 11:18 UTC

bitcoin:native We are still just chopping around here. Seems price is trying to hold previous week mid/ Monday low. If it does wouldn't surprise me to see previous week high. If it doesn't it wouldn't surprise me to see previous week low https://t.co/jN0ffdrbpq

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	heavy_hedge
Duration	3 days · Short Term
Trigger	$80,410
Trigger Operator	Break Below

AI Reasoning

Claim 2: If price fails to hold the support level, target is previous week low. No numeric trigger or target stated. Heavy hedge tone.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC drops to previous week low. The trigger is price failing to hold; no horizon phrase is attached to the outcome. No signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

Gate 1 PASS: BTCUSDT.P on 1h timeframe. Gate 2 PASS: Asset matches BTC. Gate 3 PASS: Multiple labeled horizontal support levels visible (Previous Week Mid 80,653, Monday Low 80,410) acting as support zone to defend. Gate 4 PASS: Down claim consistent with break below support structure. Trigger extracted as Monday Low at 80,410 — the lowest labeled support level that, if broken, would activate the down move toward Previous Week Low.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$78,759
Target	—
Duration	3 days · Short Term
Trigger level	$80,410
Trigger operator	Break Below
Conditional operator	Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	May 15, 2026 · 14:00 UTC

Scoring

0.64composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.66
Path Score (OCS)	0.73
Time Score (TIF)	0.77
Magnitude	0.66
Max Favorable Move	+2.8%
Max Unfavorable Move	−1.0%
Candles evaluated	289 · 1h
Eval window	May 15, 2026 · 14:00 UTC → May 18, 2026 · 14:00 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	3
Duration used in scoring	3

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeA
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	heavy_hedge
Spot price at post	$80,628
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Merge Flags

trigger_from_chart: true

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 803.35,
  "mfe": 2175.26,
  "mqs": 0.664163,
  "ocs": 0.730294,
  "tif": 0.767123,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-05-18 06:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.379781,
  "sigma_d": 0.01547054,
  "eval_end": "2026-05-18 14:00:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.664163,
  "max_close": 79480.01,
  "min_close": 76732.34,
  "eval_start": "2026-05-15 14:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 78758.59,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-05-15 14:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 14,
  "mew_days_used": 3,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.091131,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.63534,
  "activation_price": 78758.59,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 289,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.025313,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1h",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 73,
  "trigger_candle_index": 2,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 73,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 56,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 73
}