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Passport #80333 · May 15, 2026 · 11:18 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
TR@tradertim
May 15, 2026 · 11:18 UTC
bitcoin:native
We are still just chopping around here.
Seems price is trying to hold previous week mid/ Monday low.
If it does wouldn't surprise me to see previous week high. If it doesn't it wouldn't surprise me to see previous week low https://t.co/jN0ffdrbpq
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $80,410 |
| Trigger Operator | Hold Above |
AI Reasoning
Claim 1: If price holds previous week mid/Monday low, expects previous week high. No numeric trigger or target stated — all are chart-level references. Heavy hedge ('wouldn't surprise me').
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC reaches previous week high. The trigger is price holding previous week mid/Monday low; no horizon phrase is attached to the outcome. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
Gate 1 PASS: BTCUSDT.P on 1h timeframe. Gate 2 PASS: Asset matches BTC. Gate 3 PASS: Multiple labeled horizontal support levels visible (Previous Week Mid 80,653, Monday Low 80,410) acting as support zone to defend. Gate 4 PASS: Down claim consistent with break below support structure. Trigger extracted as Monday Low at 80,410 — the lowest labeled support level that, if broken, would activate the down move toward Previous Week Low.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $80,385 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
| Trigger level | $80,410 |
| Trigger operator | Hold Above |
| Conditional operator | Category A — Hold/Defend/Maintain/Support |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | May 15, 2026 · 13:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.03composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.09 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.02 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.09 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.1% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −4.7% |
| Candles evaluated | 289 · 1h |
| Eval window | May 15, 2026 · 13:00 UTC → May 18, 2026 · 13:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 3 |
| Duration used in scoring | 3 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeA |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | heavy_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $80,628 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Merge Flags
trigger_from_chart: true
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 3801.78,
"mfe": 59.02,
"mqs": 0.090552,
"ocs": 0.015287,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-15 13:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.010628,
"sigma_d": 0.01547054,
"eval_end": "2026-05-18 13:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.090552,
"max_close": 80385.11,
"min_close": 76732.34,
"eval_start": "2026-05-15 13:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 80385.11,
"trigger_ts": "2026-05-15 13:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": true,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 3,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.094918,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.029117,
"activation_price": 80385.11,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 289,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.007735,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 73,
"trigger_candle_index": 1,
"aggregated_candles_count": 73,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 73
} 