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Passport #59335 · Apr 14, 2026 · 13:05 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
TR@tradertim
Apr 14, 2026 · 13:05 UTC
Been a while since I've updated my thoughts on $ETH
Currently testing PMH and is very tempting to throw a short attempt in the ring.
I do think that monthly FVG in gray is probably wanting to get at least a tag though, so again no need to force early shorts https://t.co/MQmoFSATxn
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author expects ETH to move up to tag the monthly FVG (gray zone), implying an upward move before any short setup. Language 'probably wanting to get at least a tag' = mild hedge. No explicit numeric target is stated in the post (FVG level is only shown on chart), so targets are null.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH moves up to tag the monthly FVG. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present; 'monthly FVG' describes a chart level, not a timeframe. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $2,381 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.34composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.51 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.40 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.12 |
| Magnitude | 0.51 |
| Max Favorable Move | +3.5% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −5.4% |
| Candles evaluated | 672 · 4h |
| Eval window | Apr 14, 2026 · 13:05 UTC → Apr 21, 2026 · 13:05 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $2,381 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 128.28,
"mfe": 83.91,
"mqs": 0.512165,
"ocs": 0.395447,
"tif": 0.116279,
"mfe_ts": "2026-04-17 16:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.322078,
"sigma_d": 0.02765336,
"eval_end": "2026-04-21 13:05:38+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.512165,
"max_close": 2459.36,
"min_close": 2260.38,
"eval_start": "2026-04-14 13:05:38+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.717778,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.336492,
"activation_price": 2381,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 672,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.049098,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 5,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
} 