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Passport #163556 · Jul 23, 2026 · 12:24 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
TR@tradertim
Jul 23, 2026 · 12:24 UTC
$ETH game plan here is kind of clear.
Shorts are triggered when Monday high breaks down. They would be invalidated with a reclaim of the point of breakdown origin.
Still a choppy market, but the mid of the previous week range and Monday low are confluent here.
So that would be target 1. Target 2 would be PWL
Longs with previous week high cleanly flipping with some displacement. First target would be 2k.
Still a waiting game going into US open.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $1,915 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Below |
AI Reasoning
Claim 1: Shorts trigger on Monday high breaking down. No numeric trigger stated (Monday high is a reference, not a number). Targets (mid of previous week range, Monday low, PWL) are also not given as explicit numbers, so targets are null.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH drops to mid of previous week range / PWL after Monday high breaks down. No horizon phrase attached to the outcome; 'Monday' is on the trigger. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
Gate 1: ETH/USDT chart on 1h timeframe. Gate 2: Asset matches Stage 3 ETH. Gate 3: Trigger structure visible — gray 'Monday High' zone with downward projection arrows drawn below it. Gate 4: Direction consistent — break below Monday High leads to downward path in the drawn projection, matching Stage 3 down claim. Trigger extracted from the near edge of the Monday High zone at approximately 1915.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $1,905 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
| Trigger level | $1,915 |
| Trigger operator | Break Below |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jul 23, 2026 · 13:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.76composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.72 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.92 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.99 |
| Magnitude | 0.72 |
| Max Favorable Move | +3.0% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −0.3% |
| Candles evaluated | 289 · 1h |
| Eval window | Jul 23, 2026 · 13:00 UTC → Jul 26, 2026 · 13:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 3 |
| Duration used in scoring | 3 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeA |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $1,919 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Merge Flags
trigger_from_chart: true
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 5.04,
"mfe": 56.87,
"mqs": 0.715938,
"ocs": 0.91859,
"tif": 0.986301,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-24 15:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.407174,
"sigma_d": 0.02279367,
"eval_end": "2026-07-26 13:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.715938,
"max_close": 1908.22,
"min_close": 1852.2,
"eval_start": "2026-07-23 13:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 1904.64,
"trigger_ts": "2026-07-23 13:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 3,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.258563,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.757001,
"activation_price": 1904.64,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 289,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.023724,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 73,
"trigger_candle_index": 0,
"aggregated_candles_count": 73,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 72,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 73
} 