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Passport #176475 · Aug 5, 2026 · 14:14 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@traderomercan

Aug 5, 2026 · 14:14 UTC

Bitcoin, askerden yeni gelmiş erkek gibi duruyor. Pozitif haberler gelmeye başladığında tek mumda %3-5lik yükselişler belki %10 luk yükselişler yapacak. Shortlarım tp olmadan döndü hâlâ kârdayım ama fiyat buralardan düşmezse hepsini kapatıp longa dönmeyi düşünüyorum.

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@traderomercan's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Author predicts BTC will rally 3-5% or even 10% in a single candle when positive news arrives, clearly an up call. The percentages (3-5%, 10%) are move magnitudes not price targets, so no target_lo/hi. 'Belki' (maybe) and considering flipping to long = mild_hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC makes sharp upward moves (3-5% or 10% single candle rallies). No explicit horizon is attached to the outcome; the trigger is 'when positive news arrives' which is not a timeframe for the outcome. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$64,473
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

0.58composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.58
Path Score (OCS)	0.72
Time Score (TIF)	1.00
Magnitude	0.58
Max Favorable Move	+0.7%
Max Unfavorable Move	−0.3%
Candles evaluated	22 · 1d
Eval window	Aug 5, 2026 · 14:14 UTC → Aug 5, 2026 · 19:30 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$64,473
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 172.56,
  "mfe": 444.61,
  "mqs": 0.580761,
  "ocs": 0.720401,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-08-05 19:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.031557,
  "sigma_d": 0.01586565,
  "eval_end": "2026-08-05 19:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.580761,
  "max_close": 64885.5,
  "min_close": 64356,
  "eval_start": "2026-08-05 14:14:28+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.869314,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.58318,
  "activation_price": 64472.56,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 22,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.007933,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}