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Call Audit
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Passport #163584 · Jul 23, 2026 · 16:03 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
$BTC $SP500
Ne İşlem Alacağım? #1
Bitcoin tarafında bu seviyelerin deviation olarak kalacağını düşünüyorum. Senaryom doğru çalışırsa bu bölgeden short pozisyon alıp aşağıda alınmayı bekleyen likidite seviyelerine kadar taşımayı planlıyorum.
Likidite temizlendikten sonra güçlü bir toparlanma görürsem short pozisyonlarımı kapatıp yönümü long tarafa çevireceğim.
Amerikan piyasalarının şu an satıcılı görünmesi de ilk hamlemin short yönlü olması için senaryomu destekliyor.
Piyasayı tahmin etmeye değil, hareketi doğru okumaya çalışıyorum. Senaryo değişirse ben de değişirim ama şu an masadaki plan bu.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
First leg is directional down from current deviation zone to unspecified liquidity levels below. No explicit numeric target provided — forecaster references 'liquidity levels' without stating a price. Hedged with 'senaryom doğru çalışırsa' (if my scenario works).
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops from current deviation zone to liquidity levels below. No explicit horizon phrase attached to this outcome. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires for this leg → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $64,872 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.50composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.28 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.71 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 1.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.28 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.3% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −0.1% |
| Candles evaluated | 13 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jul 23, 2026 · 16:03 UTC → Jul 23, 2026 · 19:15 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3C->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $64,872 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 89.18,
"mfe": 221.97,
"mqs": 0.278399,
"ocs": 0.713386,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-23 18:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.015662,
"sigma_d": 0.02097356,
"eval_end": "2026-07-23 19:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.278399,
"max_close": 64871.97,
"min_close": 64681.27,
"eval_start": "2026-07-23 16:03:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.326283,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.501862,
"activation_price": 64871.97,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 13,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010487,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}