Passport #82643 · May 29, 2026 · 09:26 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster predicts BTC bottoms near 70k and grinds back up to 90k. Direction is up (toward 90k target). 70k is the bottom/support reference, not a target in the direction of the call. 'I think' language = mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC bottoms around 70k and grinds back to 90k. 'Slow grind' describes the manner of recovery but provides no explicit horizon bound to the outcome. Bottom-call language ('bottoms out') → Signal B2 base 30; no urgency cues (↓14) and no macro/cycle framing (↑60) → stays at base 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 15772.02,
"mfe": 627.07,
"mqs": 0.600897,
"ocs": 0.038238,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-29 17:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.03883,
"sigma_d": 0.01594347,
"eval_end": "2026-06-28 09:26:23+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.600897,
"max_close": 74257.7,
"min_close": 58290.17,
"eval_start": "2026-05-29 09:26:23+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.918535,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.169491,
"activation_price": 73887.03,
"dir_target_score": 0.023004,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.00924,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}