Call Audit

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Passport #177029 · Aug 5, 2026 · 23:22 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@tradernj1

Aug 5, 2026 · 23:22 UTC

10 months of a bitcoin downtrend has been difficult but it will not last forever I don’t think 2026 will end red - I also think 2027 will be a much better year. Now’s the time to start buying (if you are able to) Mistakes belong in the past - better days coming

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@tradernj1's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	149 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Bullish sentiment - forecaster expects downtrend to end, 2026 not to close red, and 2027 to be better, plus urging accumulation. No specific price targets stated. 'I think' and 'better days coming' language = mild_hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC recovers (up). 'I don't think 2026 will end red' is the most specific outcome-bound horizon: D = 2026-08-05; Dec 31 2026 − Aug 5 2026 = 148 days → 149 (minimum 1, but straightforward count gives 148; rounding to 148). D = 2026-08-05, Dec 31 2026: Aug has 26 remaining days (Aug 6–31), Sep=30, Oct=31, Nov=30, Dec=31 → 26+30+31+30+31 = 148 days → explicit_timeframe = 148.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$64,700
Target	—
Duration	149 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	explicit_text
Duration stated (days)	149
Duration used in scoring	149

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$64,700
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 260.21,
  "mfe": 296.45,
  "mqs": 0.356695,
  "ocs": 0.532551,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-08-06 05:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.009411,
  "sigma_d": 0.02077341,
  "eval_end": "2026-08-06 05:15:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.356695,
  "max_close": 64919.77,
  "min_close": 64505.14,
  "eval_start": "2026-08-05 23:22:20+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 149,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.441136,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.474664,
  "activation_price": 64699.55,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 24,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.010387,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}