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Passport #60680 · Apr 21, 2026 · 08:45 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
TH@thescalpingpro
Apr 21, 2026 · 08:45 UTC
#Bitcoin - Another breakout attempt? 🤔
BTC is once again pushing towards the $77,966 resistance.
This level remains important - a clean reclaim and hold above it opens the move toward $85,500.
Rejection here, and the downside likely continues. https://t.co/EEuaQ17a5L
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $77,966 |
| Trigger Operator | Hold Above |
AI Reasoning
Claim 2: Rejection at $77,966 (resistance holding) means downside continues. No numeric downside target stated.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC downside continues after rejection at $77,966. No horizon phrase attached to the outcome; no §4 signal (bounce, urgency, macro) applies → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $78,257 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger level | $77,966 |
| Trigger operator | Hold Above |
| Conditional operator | Category A — Hold/Defend/Maintain/Resistance |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Apr 24, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.38composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.34 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.46 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.48 |
| Magnitude | 0.34 |
| Max Favorable Move | +5.1% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −5.9% |
| Candles evaluated | 2881 · 1d |
| Eval window | Apr 24, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → May 24, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $76,507 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 4592.52,
"mfe": 3967.88,
"mqs": 0.34128,
"ocs": 0.463516,
"tif": 0.483871,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-23 08:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.228016,
"sigma_d": 0.02242541,
"eval_end": "2026-05-24 00:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.34128,
"max_close": 82684.01,
"min_close": 74451.64,
"eval_start": "2026-04-24 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 78257.48,
"trigger_ts": "2026-04-24 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.417457,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.379171,
"activation_price": 78257.48,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2881,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.121457,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": 2,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 15,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
} 