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Passport #145760 · Jul 6, 2026 · 07:27 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
#Bitcoin - Buy BTC on 13th January 2027 🚨
The 500 Day Bitcoin strategy is still on track -
i) Buy Bitcoin 500 days before the halving
ii) Hold and do nothing
iii) Sell 500 days after halving
iv) Repeat
According to this strategy, the last sell signal was triggered on 24 Aug 2025, when Bitcoin was trading around $109K.
BTC is already down 55% since then.
The next halving is estimated for around 27 May 2028.
If we go 500 days before the halving date, the next buy window lands on 13 Jan 2027.
That means the strategy suggests accumulation around January 2027.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $50,000 |
| Trigger Operator | — |
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
Tier 2 setup: drawn green projection path shows price dipping from current 62,953 down to a 2027 'BUY' zone around 50,000, then rocketing upward to ~500,000. The small dip to the BUY level is the precondition; the large upward move is the forecast. Operator is a bid/liquidity grab reversal up since price is expected to travel down to the trigger before initiating the upside move.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $64,042 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger level | $50,000 |
| Trigger operator | — |
| Conditional operator | Category E — Retest/Bounce/Bid/Front-Run |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jul 7, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
This call is conditional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | default_30 |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 4D |
| Merge source | chart_only |
| Direction source | chart |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | — |
| Spot price at post | $62,972 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_1_complex_path: path=4D
Merge Flags
orphan_chart: true
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1370.63,
"mfe": 271.98,
"mqs": 0.302018,
"ocs": 0.165578,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-07 00:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.019438,
"sigma_d": 0.02362263,
"eval_end": "2026-07-07 19:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.302018,
"max_close": 64250,
"min_close": 62819.99,
"eval_start": "2026-07-07 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 64042.02,
"trigger_ts": "2026-07-07 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {
"trigger_p0_gap_over_20pct": 20.6
},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.359562,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.121759,
"activation_price": 64042.02,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 79,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.011811,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": 0,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}