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Passport #80362 · May 15, 2026 · 14:53 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
TH@theo_crypto99
May 15, 2026 · 14:53 UTC
Bearish weekly engulfing forming.
Still 2 days left until close.
bitcoin:native
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish weekly engulfing pattern indicates a down call on BTC. No specific price targets stated. 'Forming' with 2 days left until close suggests mild hedge rather than declarative.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves down. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase; 'Still 2 days left until close' refers to the weekly candle close (a trigger/pattern condition), not the outcome. The bearish engulfing pattern is a weekly chart signal, and 'weekly close' context suggests a short-term directional call → Signal B base 14, but the pattern resolves within the week and no bounce/recovery framing is present; the directional nature without bounce language routes to DEFAULT 30, however the explicit weekly candle framing ('2 days left until close') tightly bounds the setup to this week → DEFAULT 30 is overridden by the weekly chart context. Re-evaluating: no bounce cue, no urgency cue, no macro cue — DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $79,150 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.75composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.76 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.88 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 1.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.76 |
| Max Favorable Move | +3.9% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −0.5% |
| Candles evaluated | 672 · 4h |
| Eval window | May 15, 2026 · 14:53 UTC → May 22, 2026 · 14:53 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $79,150 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 411.57,
"mfe": 3099.37,
"mqs": 0.755524,
"ocs": 0.882775,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-18 15:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.354935,
"sigma_d": 0.01595382,
"eval_end": "2026-05-22 14:53:03+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.755524,
"max_close": 79480.01,
"min_close": 76087.58,
"eval_start": "2026-05-15 14:53:03+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.408638,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.748309,
"activation_price": 79150.37,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 672,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.027798,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 43,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}