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Call Audit
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Passport #183366 · Aug 12, 2026 · 11:57 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
$BTC
Smart money spent months heavily short.
Now those shorts are at their lowest in months.
Price is starting to look good.
Perfect timing for Q4. https://t.co/tnwq6iHycK
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bullish setup described: shorts at lowest, price 'starting to look good', 'perfect timing for Q4' implies expected upside. No explicit price targets stated. Language is suggestive rather than declarative, so mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves up. 'Perfect timing for Q4' references Q4 as a catalyst/context frame, not a bound outcome horizon. No explicit timeframe on the outcome. 'Price is starting to look good' with Q4 framing suggests a medium-term hold thesis; Signal G (bag/hodl positioning) is not clearly present, but 'months' of smart money activity and Q4 framing suggest a multi-month thesis → Signal E/accumulation context with multi-month 'next leg' framing → inferred 90.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $64,240 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | 90 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $64,240 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 924.04,
"mfe": 259.96,
"mqs": 0.325072,
"ocs": 0.219561,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-12 12:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.010694,
"sigma_d": 0.02058604,
"eval_end": "2026-08-12 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 63439.02,
"magnitude": 0.325072,
"max_close": 64412,
"min_close": 63363.39,
"eval_start": "2026-08-12 11:57:45+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-12 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.39315,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.138832,
"activation_price": 64240.04,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 31,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010293,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}