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Passport #142831 · Jun 30, 2026 · 15:28 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
TH@theo_crypto99
Jun 30, 2026 · 15:28 UTC
$BTC
Smart money is flipping back into heavy shorts.
Chart still looks awful.
See you at 50k. https://t.co/YsYFc9JDZ8
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish tone with 'smart money flipping into shorts' and 'chart looks awful' confirms down direction. 'See you at 50k' is a declarative statement of the target destination.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines to 50k. 'See you at 50k' provides no outcome-anchored horizon. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires earnestly — the post is terse and bearish without macro framing. DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $58,385 |
| Target | $50,000 – $50,000 |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | 90 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $58,385 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 5077.44,
"mfe": 584.36,
"mqs": 0.515406,
"ocs": 0.103211,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.026446,
"sigma_d": 0.02164987,
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.515406,
"max_close": 63439.87,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-30 15:28:35+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.724445,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.161266,
"activation_price": 58384.55,
"dir_target_score": 0.025611,
"candles_evaluated": 441,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.013816,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
} 