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Passport #83714 · Jun 3, 2026 · 08:03 UTC · scored as of Jul 18, 2026 · 20:43 UTC
TH@themooncarl
Jun 3, 2026 · 08:03 UTC
BITCOIN COLLAPSE IS STARTING https://t.co/Z5OzManJ8n
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
'Collapse is starting' is a declarative bearish call. No price targets are stated in the post.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines ('collapse is starting'). No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present. No bounce, bottom-call, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $67,070 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.83composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.79 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.96 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 1.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.79 |
| Max Favorable Move | +13.8% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −0.6% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jun 3, 2026 · 08:03 UTC → Jul 3, 2026 · 08:03 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $67,070 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 406.69,
"mfe": 9269.81,
"mqs": 0.791494,
"ocs": 0.957971,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.559887,
"sigma_d": 0.01674519,
"eval_end": "2026-07-03 08:03:58+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.791494,
"max_close": 67341.5,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-03 08:03:58+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.567788,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.827338,
"activation_price": 67070,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.088157,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 31,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}