Call Audit

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Passport #83264 · Jun 1, 2026 · 09:48 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@themooncarl

Jun 1, 2026 · 09:48 UTC

$BTC monthly close wasn't good! If Bitcoin doesn't reclaim the $74.5K level, things could get ugly. https://t.co/QtRd3YGUvk

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@themooncarl's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	heavy_hedge
Duration	180 days · Long Term
Trigger	$74,500
Trigger Operator	Acceptance Below / Flip Bearish

AI Reasoning

Trigger is failure to reclaim $74.5K — if this reclaim doesn't happen, the bearish forecast activates. Direction is down ('things could get ugly'). No numeric target stated. Hedged language ('could get ugly').

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC declines ('things get ugly') if $74.5K is not reclaimed. Per §0.5, the trigger is 'if Bitcoin doesn't reclaim $74.5K' — no horizon phrase is attached to the outcome. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$72,880
Target	—
Duration	180 days · Long Term
Trigger level	$74,500
Trigger operator	Acceptance Below / Flip Bearish
Conditional operator	Category C — Reclaim/Acceptance/Flip Bullish
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Jul 4, 2026 · 05:30 UTC

Scoring

This call is conditional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	180
Duration used in scoring	—

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeB
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	heavy_hedge
Spot price at post	$72,880
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Merge Flags

awaiting_post_trigger_data: [object Object]

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mqs": null,
  "ocs": null,
  "tif": null,
  "status": "conditional_pending_insufficient_data",
  "eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": null,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
  "trigger_ts": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {
    "awaiting_post_trigger_data": {
      "required": 2,
      "aggregated_candles_after_trigger": 1
    }
  },
  "accuracy_score": null,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 1
}