01Leaderboard02Sharp vs Crowd Insights03Newsletter04Elite AI (Claude) Analyst05Forecaster Profiles06Profile Stat Cards07Watchlist08Pricing09How It Works10About Us11FAQ12Dispute a Score13Log In14Sign Up
← Back to @themooncarl

Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #82861 · May 30, 2026 · 11:01 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

TH
@themooncarl
May 30, 2026 · 11:01 UTC
𝕏
$BTC is exactly at its multi-cycle support uptrend. Maybe we get a deviation below it to scare the last remaining bulls. Then it runs back up, turbo, to new highs. https://t.co/0tRncYLwI1
🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@themooncarl's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

AssetBTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

TypeDirectional
ActivationActive Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

AssetBTC
DirectionShort
Commitmentheavy_hedge
Duration180 days · Long Term
Trigger—
Trigger Operator—

AI Reasoning

Per Stage 2, scoring only the first leg: a possible deviation below multi-cycle support = down direction. 'Maybe' indicates heavy hedge. No numeric target is given for the deviation.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC deviates below multi-cycle support (short-term dip). No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. 'Deviation below' to 'scare bulls' is short-term bounce/reversal register — Signal B2 (bottom call / deviation scare then recovery) at base 30, but the 'deviation' framing is a brief dip rather than a sustained bottom call; Signal B (short-term bounce/reflex) at base 14 is more tightly bound to this leg's predicted outcome of a quick downside wick.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

AssetBTC
DirectionShort
ActivationActive Immediately
Activation price$73,615
Target—
Duration180 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration sourcechart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)180
Duration used in scoring180

Pipeline

Pipeline path3A->4A
Merge sourcemerged
Direction sourcepost_text
Target sourcenone
Commitment levelheavy_hedge
Spot price at post$73,615
Stage 0 passedYes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 661.1,
  "mfe": 15814.37,
  "mqs": 0.828366,
  "ocs": 0.959874,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.381201,
  "sigma_d": 0.02168669,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.828366,
  "max_close": 74214.76,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-05-30 11:01:41+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 180,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.762391,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.79236,
  "activation_price": 73614.56,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 3338,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.121895,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 2,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 2,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}