Call Audit

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Passport #82647 · May 29, 2026 · 09:51 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@themooncarl

May 29, 2026 · 09:51 UTC

I'm very bullish on $ETH long-term. But it's going to $1,500 this year before a multi-year uptrend. This is when I'll go heavily. https://t.co/dNT4uSgWUF

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@themooncarl's ETH record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

ETH

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	ETH
Direction	Short
Commitment	declarative
Duration	216 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Per Stage 2, only the first leg is scored as directional down to $1,500. 'It's going to $1,500 this year' is a declarative statement of a downward price target. The long-term bullishness and multi-year uptrend mention are not part of this directional extraction.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = ETH drops to $1,500. 'This year' is bound to the outcome (the decline to $1,500). D = 2026-05-29; Dec 31 2026 − May 29 2026 = 216 days.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	ETH
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$2,015
Target	$1,500 – $1,500
Duration	216 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	explicit_text
Duration stated (days)	216
Duration used in scoring	216

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$2,015
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 31.74,
  "mfe": 509.17,
  "mqs": 0.959096,
  "ocs": 0.941321,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-06-06 05:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.406248,
  "sigma_d": 0.02829253,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.959096,
  "max_close": 2042.48,
  "min_close": 1518.97,
  "eval_start": "2026-05-29 09:51:31+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 216,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 3.196532,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.826666,
  "activation_price": 2014.85,
  "dir_target_score": 0.963154,
  "candles_evaluated": 3439,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.079057,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 2,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 2,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}