Call Audit

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Passport #80560 · May 16, 2026 · 20:27 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@themooncarl

May 16, 2026 · 20:27 UTC

𝕏

$7.5B in $ETH shorts $1B in ETH longs You know where Ethereum will move next. https://t.co/YVLvu57zdb

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@themooncarl's ETH record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

ETH

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	ETH
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	180 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

The post implies ETH will move up due to a heavily short-skewed market (7.5x more shorts than longs), suggesting a short squeeze. No explicit price targets are given. The $7.5B and $1B figures are open interest amounts, not price targets. Tone is suggestive rather than declarative ('You know where...'), so mild_hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = ETH moves up (short squeeze). No explicit horizon phrase attached to the outcome. No bounce, bottom-call, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	ETH
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$2,182
Target	—
Duration	180 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	reviewer_override
Duration stated (days)	180
Duration used in scoring	180

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$2,182
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 676.31,
  "mfe": 16.15,
  "mqs": 0.276477,
  "ocs": 0.023323,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-05-17 10:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.013831,
  "sigma_d": 0.02990512,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.276477,
  "max_close": 2197.12,
  "min_close": 1518.97,
  "eval_start": "2026-05-16 20:27:46+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 180,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.323623,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.078408,
  "activation_price": 2181.99,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 4645,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.022871,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 2,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 2,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}