Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #143920 · Jul 2, 2026 · 14:23 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@themooncarl

Jul 2, 2026 · 14:23 UTC

Bitfinex whales are aggressively closing their $BTC longs. This has been a very reliable pump indicator. https://t.co/N3pvNRzYra

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

The post implies a bullish outlook by citing a 'reliable pump indicator' — direction is up. No explicit price targets stated. Language is suggestive rather than declarative, so mild_hedge fits.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC pumps (moves up). No explicit horizon phrase attached to the outcome. No bounce, bottom-call, urgency, or macro signal fires — 'reliable pump indicator' is generic directional language → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$61,675
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$61,675
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 566.17,
  "mfe": 1786.83,
  "mqs": 0.508243,
  "ocs": 0.759384,
  "tif": 0.75,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-04 19:45:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.131847,
  "sigma_d": 0.02737545,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.508243,
  "max_close": 63439.87,
  "min_close": 61191.99,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-02 14:23:32+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.709771,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.537369,
  "activation_price": 61675.16,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 253,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.040818,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 4,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 4,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 3,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 4
}