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Passport #136757 · Jun 11, 2026 · 09:05 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
TH@themooncarl
Jun 11, 2026 · 09:05 UTC
$BTC could probably go for another low.
This'll be the peak capitulation before the bottom. https://t.co/CFcUGX9Nb8
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish call ('go for another low', 'peak capitulation before the bottom') indicates down direction. 'Could probably' is hedged language = heavy_hedge. No specific price target stated.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC goes for another low. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. 'Peak capitulation before the bottom' is bottom-call context, but the active predicted outcome is the directional down move ('another low'), not the bottom itself — no strong §4 signal fires for this leg → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $62,873 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.45composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.54 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.53 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.39 |
| Magnitude | 0.54 |
| Max Favorable Move | +8.1% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −7.0% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jun 11, 2026 · 09:05 UTC → Jul 11, 2026 · 09:05 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | heavy_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $62,873 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 4419.04,
"mfe": 5072.92,
"mqs": 0.535646,
"ocs": 0.534444,
"tif": 0.387097,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.353414,
"sigma_d": 0.02371349,
"eval_end": "2026-07-11 09:05:09+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.535646,
"max_close": 67292.14,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-11 09:05:09+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.767108,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.45265,
"activation_price": 62873.11,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.105181,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 12,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
} 