Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #65433 · Mar 18, 2026 · 17:40 UTC · scored as of Jul 18, 2026 · 20:43 UTC

@theeurosniper

Mar 18, 2026 · 17:40 UTC

Loaded some $BTC at 71 Planning to start offloading when BTC is 78 - 82 Loaded $TIBBIR at 0.14 / 0.15 + close above 0.16 Planning to start offloading from 0.24

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	declarative
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Forecaster bought at 71k (entry/trigger) and plans to sell at 78-82k (target range). Trigger confidence is NOT PASS because 71k is an entry price rather than a clear activation level — it could reasonably be argued this is just an entry, not a conditional trigger.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC rises to 78-82k range. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase; the trigger is a price level (not temporal). No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$71,591
Target	$78,000 – $82,000
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

0.41composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.45
Path Score (OCS)	0.51
Time Score (TIF)	0.29
Magnitude	0.45
Max Favorable Move	+9.4%
Max Unfavorable Move	−9.2%
Candles evaluated	2880 · 1d
Eval window	Mar 18, 2026 · 17:40 UTC → Apr 17, 2026 · 17:40 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$71,591
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_3_confidence: post_trigger_confidence

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 6590.62,
  "mfe": 6742.38,
  "mqs": 0.453529,
  "ocs": 0.505691,
  "tif": 0.290323,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-04-17 16:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.406251,
  "sigma_d": 0.02847868,
  "eval_end": "2026-04-17 17:40:56+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.453529,
  "max_close": 78161.62,
  "min_close": 65620.39,
  "eval_start": "2026-03-18 17:40:56+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.604273,
  "target_hit_ts": "2026-04-17 14:45:00+00:00",
  "accuracy_score": 0.413948,
  "activation_price": 71590.62,
  "dir_target_score": 1,
  "candles_evaluated": 2880,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.155856,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 31,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 31,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 9,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}