Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #97876 · Oct 16, 2025 · 09:30 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@thecryptomonk

Oct 16, 2025 · 09:30 UTC

110k feels way too cheap for a single mined-in-China digital bean. You could double that number and it would still feel cheap to me. Give me 10T MC and I’ll consider it fairly priced. Hopefully by 2030.

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	1902 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Forecaster says 110k is 'too cheap' and even double would feel cheap, clearly implying up direction. The 10T market cap reference is a market cap target, not a price target, so no price targets extracted. 'Hopefully by 2030' indicates mild hedge tone.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC reaches ~10T market cap. 'Hopefully by 2030' is bound to the outcome. D = 2025-10-16; Dec 31 2030 − Oct 16 2025 = 1902 days.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$111,221
Target	—
Duration	1902 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	explicit_text
Duration stated (days)	1902
Duration used in scoring	1902

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$111,221
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 53420.77,
  "mfe": 5279.04,
  "mqs": 0.554361,
  "ocs": 0.089933,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2025-10-27 07:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.02728,
  "sigma_d": 0.01778262,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-02 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.554361,
  "max_close": 116059.46,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2025-10-16 09:30:37+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 1902,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.808246,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.167894,
  "activation_price": 111220.96,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 24848,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.058725,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 9,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 9,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 9
}