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Call Audit
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Passport #82854 · May 30, 2026 · 10:26 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
If $ETH doesn’t reach 10k by 2030, I will have lost an entire decade on the wrong investment thesis https://t.co/372SSDnkek
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 1676 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster commits to ETH reaching 10k by 2030, framing it as a thesis they stake their decade on. Direction is up, single target of 10000, declarative tone despite the rhetorical framing.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH reaches $10k. 'By 2030' is bound to the outcome. D = 2026-05-30; Dec 31 2030 − May 30 2026 = 1676 days.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $2,019 |
| Target | $10,000 – $10,000 |
| Duration | 1676 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 1676 |
| Duration used in scoring | 1676 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $2,019 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 513.26,
"mfe": 19.06,
"mqs": 0.338734,
"ocs": 0.035806,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-31 02:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.005782,
"sigma_d": 0.02790646,
"eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.338734,
"max_close": 2036.21,
"min_close": 1518.97,
"eval_start": "2026-05-30 10:26:38+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 1676,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.4136,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.09508,
"activation_price": 2018.94,
"dir_target_score": 0.002164,
"candles_evaluated": 3341,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.022825,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}