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Passport #27213 · Apr 24, 2026 · 13:18 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
TH@thecryptomonk
Apr 24, 2026 · 13:18 UTC
$BTC looks like it’s gonna run beyond 80k this weekend
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bullish language 'gonna run beyond 80k' indicates up direction. 'Looks like' softens to mild_hedge. Target is 80k, though 'beyond' suggests it could be a floor rather than a destination — a reasonable person could argue 80k is not the precise predicted destination.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC runs beyond 80k. 'This weekend' is bound to the outcome. D = 2026-04-24 (Thursday); next Sunday = 2026-04-26; 2 days out, but 'this weekend' maps to next Sunday → days(Apr 24 → Apr 26) = 2, however using the §3.1 'this weekend' → next Sun formula: Apr 26 2026 − Apr 24 2026 = 2 days. Rounding to minimum meaningful: 2 days. Actually: days(2026-04-24 → 2026-04-26) = 2, but 'this weekend' per §3.1 maps to next Sunday = Apr 26, giving explicit_timeframe = 2. Wait — Apr 24 is a Friday; next Sun = Apr 26; 26−24 = 2 days → explicit_timeframe = 2. Re-checking: April 24 2026 is a Friday, so 'this weekend' = Sunday April 26 = 2 days out.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $78,168 |
| Target | $80,000 – $80,000 |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.34composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.41 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.56 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.15 |
| Magnitude | 0.41 |
| Max Favorable Move | +1.7% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −1.3% |
| Candles evaluated | 288 · 1h |
| Eval window | Apr 24, 2026 · 13:18 UTC → Apr 27, 2026 · 13:18 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 3 |
| Duration used in scoring | 3 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $78,168 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_3_confidence: post_target_confidence
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1027.66,
"mfe": 1317.77,
"mqs": 0.406012,
"ocs": 0.561846,
"tif": 0.150685,
"mfe_ts": "2026-04-27 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.239299,
"sigma_d": 0.02047832,
"eval_end": "2026-04-27 13:18:23+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.406012,
"max_close": 79308.6,
"min_close": 77193.8,
"eval_start": "2026-04-24 13:18:23+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 3,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.520896,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.33946,
"activation_price": 78167.89,
"dir_target_score": 0.622621,
"candles_evaluated": 288,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.032364,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 73,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 73,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 11,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 73
}