Passport #164588 · Jul 24, 2026 · 11:40 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 160 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bullish call for ETH to return above $4k. 'Gut feeling' and 'hopefully' indicate heavy hedge language. Target of $4000 is explicitly stated as the destination in the up direction.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH rises above $4k. 'Q4' is bound to the outcome ('explosive Q4... ETH back above $4k in the process'). D = 2026-07-24; Q4 ends Dec 31, 2026; Dec 31 − Jul 24 = 160 days.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 30.61,
"mfe": 7.11,
"mqs": 0.240677,
"ocs": 0.188494,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-24 12:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.007501,
"sigma_d": 0.02748824,
"eval_end": "2026-07-24 14:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.240677,
"max_close": 1883.85,
"min_close": 1858.06,
"eval_start": "2026-07-24 11:40:10+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 160,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.275329,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.109168,
"activation_price": 1878.89,
"dir_target_score": 0.002338,
"candles_evaluated": 11,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.013744,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}